温州金融发展与经济增长关系研究

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摘要

众所周知，经济增长是社会发展与政治稳定的前提。因此，研究促进经济

增长的要素，以致于推动经济增长和社会发展是经济学家的首要任务，也是经济

学界一直关注和研究的重点。我国经过几十年的高速发展，经济关系日益金融化，

金融发展水平也得到很大的提高，金融在资源配置方面的作用也越来越明显。由

于金融发展在经济生活中发挥的作用越来越重要，经济学家和众多学者也纷纷对

金融发展与经济增长之间的关系进行了研究。关于金融发展与经济增长关系的问

题，国内外研究的较多。目前国内对于金融发展与经济增长关系研究还是以国别

层面上为主，对于区域或地方的研究偏少。可以从国外研究结果看出，金融发展

与经济增长之间存在着密切的联系，金融发展的程度会影响到经济的增长速度，

而且经济增长也反过来会影响的金融发展程度，两者之间存在相互促进的良性机

制。但是，根据目前情况可以看出，国内外的相关研究结论并不统一，究其原因，

可能是因为我国目前的金融发展的特殊性。但是国外学者对于金融发展与经济增

长之间的因果关系、相互作用机制、金融抑制、金融深化等许多方面做了深入的

研究，这为我国研究金融发展与经济增长之间的关系研究提供了理论依据和研究

方法。

本文研究了 1978-2011 年以来温州经济增长与金融发展之间的相关性与因

果关系。从相关理论的总结到温州经济与金融发展的现状，再到使用 1978-2011

年的数据对温州金融发展与经济增长之间的实证研究，到最后针对研究结论提出

相关建议。对温州地区的金融发展与经济增长关系的研究的基本框架包括金融发

展和经济增长关系研究的理论回顾、两者关系的界定、金融发展与经济增长相互

的作用机制。在金融发展与经济增长关系研究的理论回顾中，重点介绍了五大理

论，分别为金融结构论、金融抑制和金融深化论、金融约束论、金融功能论以及

金融法权论。在金融发展与经济增长关系的界定的部分，重点介绍了金融发展的

“供给导向”和“需求导向”两种途径；在相互作用机制部分，介绍了金融发展

作用于经济增长的影响机制以及经济增长作用于金融发展的影响机制。本文分为

六大部分。

绪论部分大致阐述的是关于温州金融发展与经济增长关系研究的背景、意

义、方法、思路以及研究的创新点与不足。

金融发展与经济增长研究的文献综述部分，笔者从国外与国内两方面展开，

同时也从理论与实证的维度队友管文献进行了归纳与总结。

在温州地区的经济增长与金融发展的现状分析部分，首先对 1978-2011 年阶

段分为两个研究区间 1978-1989 年与 1989-2011 年阶段，原因是 1989 年是一个

分割点，1989 年后温州地区的经济增长与金融发展快速发展。在分为两阶段的

基础上对经济增长与金融发展的各种指标进行了阐述。

在温州地区的金融发展与经济增长关系的实证研究部分，首先根据相关理

论，结合温州地区的现状分析，提出了实证研究的对象和方法以及相关衡量指标，

使用了平稳性检验、协整检验和格兰杰因果检验等计量检验方法对 1978-1989、

1989-2011、1978-2011 三个期间的数据进行了实证研究。研究结论表明了温州地

区的金融发展从总体上看是供给导向型的。两个子期间得到的结论有所不同，

1978-1989 年属于需求导向型的，而 1989-2011 年属于供给导向型的。

最后一部分是针对研究结论提出相关建议。

关键词：金融发展经济增长作用机制

ABSTRACT

As we all know, economic growth is the premise of social development and

political stability. Therefore, the study of the elements to promote economic growth and

social development that is the primary task of the economist and has been the focus of

attention and study. China after decades of rapid development, the increasing

financialization of economic relations and the level of financial development has also

been greatly improved,also the financial role in resource allocation has become

increasingly evident. Financial development play an increasingly important role in the

economic life ,so more and more economists and scholars have also the relationship

between financial development and economic growth.

Domestic and foreign research more on the relationship between financial

development and economic growth. But in our country, the main study is about the

relationship in a regional or local. Can be seen from the results of foreign studies, there

are close links between financial development and economic growth and the degree of

financial development will affect the growth rate of the economy, and economic growth,

in turn, will affect the degree of financial development, between there is a mutually

reinforcing virtuous mechanism. However, the current situation can be seen, at home

and abroad related research conclusions are not uniform, the reason may be because of

the special nature of our current financial development.

Foreign scholars for a causal relationship between financial development and

economic growth, the interaction mechanism, financial repression, financial deepening

in many ways, have in-depth research, which provides a theoretical study of the

relationship between financial development and economic growth of our research

evidence and method.

In this paper, the correlation and causal relationship between the Wenzhou

economic growth and financial development since the 1978-2011 year. , and then to use

the 1978-2011 data of empirical research between Wenzhou financial development and

economic growth, to make relevant recommendations and finally conclusions from the

summary of the theory to the status quo of economic and financial development in

Wenzhou. The basic framework of the research on the relationship between financial

development and economic growth in Wenzhou area, including the theory of financial

development and economic growth relationship research review, defined relationship

between financial development and economic growth mutual mechanism. Review of

the theory of the relationship between financial development and economic growth,

focuses on five major theories were the theory of financial structure, financial

repression and financial deepening theory, theory of financial constraints, the financial

functions theory as well as the financial law rights theory. In part defined by the

relationship of financial development and economic growth, financial development of

the "supply-oriented" and "demand-oriented" highlights two ways; introduce a

mechanism of financial development role in the economic growth and the economic

part in the interaction mechanism, The growth of the role of financial development

mechanism.

The paper is divided into six major parts.

The introduction part is substantially elaborated on the background of financial

development and economic growth in Wenzhou Relationship, significance, methods,

ideas and research, innovation and shortcomings.

Literature review of the research part of the financial development and economic

growth, I commenced from both foreign and domestic, but also from the theoretical and

empirical dimensions teammates tube literature summarized.

Analysis part of the status quo in the the Wenzhou region's economic growth and

financial development, the first of the 1978-2011 year stage is divided into two study

interval 1978-1989 and 1989-2011 years stage, because 1989 is a split point after 1989

The rapid development of the Wenzhou region's economic growth and financial

development. Is divided into two stages on the basis of various indicators of economic

growth and financial development.

Empirical research part of the relationship between financial development and

economic growth in the Wenzhou area, according to the theory, combined with the

Wenzhou region's status quo analysis, objects and methods of empirical research and

related metrics, using a stationary test, cointegration test and Granger causality test,

measurement test method conducted empirical studies. the three periods

1978-1989,1989-2011,1978-2011 data The findings show that the Wenzhou region's

financial development on the whole supply oriented. During the two sub-conclusion

different from 1978 - 1989 is a demand-oriented, while the 1989-2011 year belongs to

the supply-oriented.

The last part is to make recommendations for research conclusions.

Key words: Financial Development, Economic Growth, Mechanism

中文摘要

ABSTRACT

第一章绪论 ............................................................................................................... 1

§1.1 研究背景与研究意义 ....................................................................................1

§1.1.1 研究背景 ..............................................................................................1

§1.1.2 研究意义 ..............................................................................................2

§1.2 相关文献综述 ................................................................................................2

§1.2.1 国外文献综述 ......................................................................................2

§1.2.2 国内文献综述 ......................................................................................6

§1.2.3 简要评述 ...............................................................................................9

§1.3 研究方法与思路 ..........................................................................................10

§1.3.1 研究方法 ............................................................................................10

§1.3.1 研究思路 ............................................................................................10

§1.4 本文创新点与不足 ......................................................................................11

第二章金融发展与经济增长关系的理论分析 ..................................................... 13

§2.1 金融发展与经济增长关系研究的理论回顾 ............................................. 13

§2.1.1 金融结构论 ........................................................................................13

§2.1.2 金融深化论 ........................................................................................13

§2.1.3 金融约束论 ........................................................................................14

§2.1.4 金融功能论 ........................................................................................15

§2.1.5 金融法权论 ........................................................................................15

§2.2 金融发展与经济增长关系的界定 ............................................................. 15

§2.3 金融发展与经济增长相互作用的机制 ..................................................... 16

§2.3.1 金融发展与经济增长相互作用机理概述 ........................................16

§2.3.2 金融发展影响经济增长的机理分析 ................................................17

§2.3.3 经济增长影响金融发展的机理分析 ................................................20

§2.3.4 经济增长与金融发展相互作用的机理总结 ....................................21

第三章温州金融发展与经济增长的现状分析 ..................................................... 22

§3.1 温州经济发展的基本统计分析 ................................................................. 22

§3.1.1 温州 GDP 及人均 GDP 分析 ............................................................22

§3.1.2 温州经济发展的阶段分析 ................................................................25

§3.1.3 温州经济发展的结构分析 ................................................................26

§3.2 温州金融发展的现状分析 ......................................................................... 27

§3.2.1 温州金融发展宏观分析 ....................................................................27

§3.2.2 温州金融发展微观分析 ....................................................................30

§3.3 温州经济增长与金融发展关系的现状分析 .............................................. 36

§3.3.1 温州金融业发展与经济增长的直接性关系 .....................................37

§3.3.2 温州金融业发展与经济增长的间接性关系 ....................................37

第四章温州金融发展与经济增长关系的实证分析 ............................................. 39

§4.1 实证研究的思路 ......................................................................................... 39

§4.2 指标的选择 ................................................................................................. 40

§4.2.1 金融发展的指标 ................................................................................40

§4.2.2 经济增长的指标 ................................................................................41

§4.3 数据的收集与分析 ..................................................................................... 42

§4.3 实证检验 ..................................................................................................... 44

§4.3.1 1978-2011 年各指标因果关系分析 .................................................. 44

§4.3.3 1989-2011 年各指标因果关系分析 .................................................. 49

§4.3.4 1978-1989 年各指标因果关系分析 .................................................. 51

§4.4 温州地区的金融发展与经济增长之间的回归分析 ................................. 53

§4.5 实证分析的结论及分析 ............................................................................. 55

第五章温州金融发展与经济增长协调发展的建议 ............................................. 58

§5.1 健全机构体系，增强金融业综合服务能力，促进经济增长 ................. 58

§5.2 强化区域资本市场功能，拓宽中小企业投融资渠道 ............................. 60

§5.3 温州民间金融合法化 ................................................................................. 61

§5.4 优化金融生态环境 ..................................................................................... 62

附录 ........................................................................................................................... 63

参考文献 ..................................................................................................................... 66

在读期间公开发表的论文和承担科研项目及取得成果 ......................................... 69

致谢 ......................................................................................................................... 70

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摘要：

摘要众所周知，经济增长是社会发展与政治稳定的前提。因此，研究促进经济增长的要素，以致于推动经济增长和社会发展是经济学家的首要任务，也是经济学界一直关注和研究的重点。我国经过几十年的高速发展，经济关系日益金融化，金融发展水平也得到很大的提高，金融在资源配置方面的作用也越来越明显。由于金融发展在经济生活中发挥的作用越来越重要，经济学家和众多学者也纷纷对金融发展与经济增长之间的关系进行了研究。关于金融发展与经济增长关系的问题，国内外研究的较多。目前国内对于金融发展与经济增长关系研究还是以国别层面上为主，对于区域或地方的研究偏少。可以从国外研究结果看出，金融发展与经济增长之间存在着密切的联系，金融发展...

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